Long range forecast of weather deviations

Updated on 19th of July 2024 , Location //

Month

10 days

August 2024
Colder than usual
September 2024
Little colder than usual
October 2024
Temperature near normal
November 2024
Little warmer than usual
December 2024
Warmer than usual
Much colder than usual 2024
Much warmer than usual
February 2025
Much colder than usual
March 2025
Colder than usual

Daily averaged temperature forecast and climate

This is a detailed view of the long range temperature series on which the above table is based.

  • Spatial coverage

    The forecast available for Europe, US, Canada, Japan, Australia, Argentina, Brazil, Chile, India, Mexico, New Zealand, Pakistan, South Africa...

  • Reliability of long range weather forecast

    Long range or long term weather forecast is always a challenge and choose between detalization and reliability. A statistical generalization is used to achieve more significant level of reliability, which provide probability up to 70-75% that the forecast will come true as opposed to 50% of random forecast.

    In mountainous areas, forecast and climatic values may look unrealistic due to the influence of local conditions and altitude difference.

  • Data processing

    Each value of daily mean temperature obtained by averaging of the ensemble of model runs, therefor it only slightly changes each next day. Climate dataset include 10 years averaging and a light smoothing, that allow you to see how far forecast deviate from historical values.

Here you can find the weather forecast for August 2024, September 2024 and the forecast for the following months of 2024.